LongORCLJuly 27, 2026

Alpine Capital (Pty) Ltd on Oracle Corporation

Thesis

Alpine initiated Oracle positions in certain portfolios during Q2 after the stock's pullback. The manager acknowledges that the market is discounting negative free cash flow and the possibility of a future capital raise, but believes the valuation and entry point create an attractive asymmetric opportunity. Oracle retains the ability to slow spending if the AI investment cycle reverses, limiting some of the downside associated with current capital intensity. Alpine does not expect AI demand to reverse and therefore sees the current weakness as an attractive entry point.

we believe the valuation is attractive
Alpine Capital (Pty) Ltd — Alpine Capital Investor Newsletter - Q2 2026

Key risks

  • Oracle is generating negative free cash flow amid heavy infrastructure investment.
  • The company may need to raise additional capital.
  • Returns depend on the economics of large-scale AI infrastructure spending.

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