First Eagle Global Real Assets Fund on Noble Corporation plc
Thesis
Noble is a deepwater drilling contractor whose shares declined alongside the broader fall in oil prices during the quarter. The fund argues that the company's business is relatively insulated from disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz because its revenues are tied entirely to deepwater drilling rather than regional oil transportation. First Eagle expects deepwater activity to benefit from increased upstream exploration and development. The thesis therefore rests on a multi-year increase in offshore investment rather than near-term Middle East oil flows.
“We believe that Noble is relatively insulated from tensions in the Middle East because its revenue stream is tied entirely to deepwater drilling”
Key risks
- Falling oil prices can pressure Noble's shares and may ultimately weaken upstream exploration spending.