LongALLYSeptember 30, 2026

Overstone Global All Cap Value Fund on Ally Financial Inc.

Thesis

Ally's second-quarter results were satisfactory, although management expects a roughly flat third-quarter net interest margin. Stellantis recall lease losses of about $20 million and an additional Federal Reserve hike pressure a liability-sensitive balance sheet. The fund expects return on equity to improve toward the mid-teens from around 11% in 2026 and believes more rate hikes delay rather than destroy that recovery. At 0.9 times tangible book and six times earnings, the valuation does not reflect the potential improvement.

“We think the return on equity will continue to improve towards the mid-teens from around 11% this year”
Overstone Global All Cap Value Fund — Overstone Global All Cap Value Fund 3Q 2026 Commentary

Key risks

  • Further Fed hikes hurt the liability-sensitive balance sheet.
  • Stellantis recall lease losses reduce earnings.
  • Net interest margin is expected to remain flat in the third quarter.

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