Unconventional Value on Remitly Global, Inc.
Thesis
Gallagher increased his investment in Remitly as its cross-border remittance volumes continued to grow above 30% while operating leverage became increasingly visible. Incremental operating margins exceeded 45% in the prior two quarters, supporting the case that continued scale can translate volume growth into substantially higher profitability. He expects Remitly to keep taking share from expensive banks, non-digital incumbents and sub-scale fintech competitors, while ultimately growing toward mature margins above 20%. He also believes stablecoins are more likely to improve Remitly's payment rails than disintermediate the company.
“Remitly is a bet on execution.”
Key risks
- Stablecoins are perceived by the market as a potential threat to traditional remittance providers.
- Remitly competes with banks, established remittance incumbents and other fintech companies.
- The thesis depends heavily on continued execution and market-share gains.